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The Trump Trade Continued: AI, Utilities, and More

Written by Arbitrage2025-01-10 00:00:00

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After a blockbuster 2024 where the S&P 500 climbed over 23%, the big question on every investor's mind is: what's next? With President-elect Donald Trump's pro-deregulation policies and continued momentum in AI and utilities, 2025 could be another standout year. But not every sector will shine equally. Let's break down where the smart money is headed and how you can position your portfolio for success.

What Goes Up - Might Keep Going Up?

Yes, 2024 was a sugar rush for investors, but don't panic if your portfolio looks like it had too much caramel drizzle. Analysts are cautiously optimistic about 2025, predicting moderate but sustainable growth. Jay Jacobs from BlackRock notes that themes like AI adoption, shifting geopolitics, and increased electricity demand will define the year.


For savvy investors, this means finding the right sectors to ride the next wave of gains. Spoiler: AI isn't just a 2024 story - it's still the belle of the ball.


1. AI: The Boom That Keeps on Booming

Think the AI hype is over? Think again. According to BlackRock analysts, we're only scratching the surface. Consumer adoption of generative AI is in its infancy, and investment in AI infrastructure is accelerating. Consider this: the global AI market is projected to grow from $142.3 billion in 2023 to a jaw-dropping $1.59 trillion by 2030. The driving force? Bigger, better models and more powerful chips, fueling use cases from personalized shopping assistants to self-driving cars.


Key takeaway: Companies like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Alphabet are doubling down on AI, meaning opportunities abound for investors in AI stocks, ETFs, or infrastructure-focused plays. Just make sure you're in for the long haul. AI isn't a sprint; it's a marathon with turbocharged sneakers.


2. Utilities: The Unsung Heroes of the AI Revolution

Utilities might not seem as glamorous as AI, but here's the twist: without them, the AI boom would not exist. Data centers guzzle electricity like a college kid at an all-you-can-drink soda bar, and powering these operations requires robust energy solutions. UBS analysts highlight that utilities are primed for "transformational growth," driven by the increasing demand for grid upgrades, renewable energy, and resource efficiency. Add to this Trump's deregulation-friendly policies, and you've got a sector ready to shine.


Where to look: Renewable energy providers, power grid innovators, and traditional utilities expanding into AI-adjacent services like energy-efficient data center cooling.


3. Financials: The Deregulation Darling

With Trump back in the White House, Wall Street is grinning like a Cheshire cat. Banks and financial services firms are poised to benefit from a wave of deregulation, making it easier for them to expand their services, innovate, and yes, rake in the cash.

JP Morgan analysts predict that loosened regulations will make 2025 a banner year for financials. Think increased lending, robust merger activity, and more dynamic trading environments - all of which spell opportunity for investors.


Pro tip: Keep an eye on regional banks and asset managers, which could see an outsized boost from policy shifts.


FAQ: What Should Investors Watch for in 2025?

Q: Will AI stocks continue to rise?

A: Yes, but expect some volatility as the market digests rapid growth. Long-term investors will benefit most from staying patient.


Q: Are utilities a safe bet?

A: They're not just safe - they are essential. With rising electricity demand and a focus on sustainability, utilities offer a balance of stability and growth.


Q: How will Trump's policies affect the market?

A: Deregulation could benefit financials, energy, and even tech, but keep an eye on geopolitical risks and potential market overconfidence.


Q: What sectors should I avoid?

A: Caution is warranted in highly speculative areas that saw exponential growth in 2024 but lack clear profit paths, like meme stocks or fringe cryptos.


Why Timing Matters: Act Early, Stay Smart

The best opportunities in 2025 will likely emerge early, as investors recalibrate portfolios post-2024. By identifying trends in AI, utilities, and financials now, you'll be better positioned to profit as the year unfolds. Remember: It's not about chasing every shiny object - it's about understanding the underlying forces driving growth and aligning your investments accordingly.


Wrap-Up: Your 2025 Playbook

From the AI revolution to the utilities powering it and the financials cheering deregulation, 2025 is shaping up to be a year of calculated opportunities. Savvy investors will focus on these high-growth areas while keeping an eye on potential risks like overvaluation or political uncertainty.


So, what's your next move? Whether you're bullish on AI, utilities, or financials, one thing's for sure: staying informed and agile will be your best asset.

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